Vecchi, G., T. Delworth, R. Gudgel, S. Kapnick, A. Rosati, A.T. Wittenberg, F. Zeng, et al. 2014. “On the Seasonal Forecasting of Regional Tropical Cyclone Activity”. Journal of Climate 27. American Meteorological Society: 7994-8016. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00158.1.

Villarini, G., G. Vecchi, T.R. Knutson, and J.A. Smith. 2011. “Is the Recorded Increase in Short-Duration North Atlantic Tropical Storms Spurious?”. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres 116. Blackwell Publishing Ltd. doi:10.1029/2010JD015493.

Scoccimarro, E., S. Gualdi, G. Villarini, G. Vecchi, M. Zhao, K. Walsh, and A. Navarra. 2014. “Intense Precipitation Events Associated With Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in Response to a Warmer Climate and Increased CO2”. Journal of Climate 27. American Meteorological Society: 4642-54. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00065.1.

Villarini, G., G. Vecchi, and J.A. Smith. 2010. “Modeling the Dependence of Tropical Storm Counts in the North Atlantic Basin on Climate Indices”. Monthly Weather Review 138: 2681-2705. doi:10.1175/2010MWR3315.1.

Villarini, G., D.A. Lavers, E. Scoccimarro, M. Zhao, M.F. Wehner, G. Vecchi, T.R. Knutson, and K.A. Reed. 2014. “Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall to Idealized Global-Scale Forcings”. Journal of Climate 27. American Meteorological Society: 4622-41. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00780.1.

Vecchi, G., and G. Villarini. 2014. “Next Season S Hurricanes”. Science 343. American Association for the Advancement of Science: 618-19. doi:10.1126/science.1247759.

Vecchi, G., R. Msadek, W. Anderson, Y.-S. Chang, T. Delworth, K. Dixon, R. Gudgel, et al. 2014. “Reply to Comments on "Multiyear Predictions of North Atlantic Hurricane Frequency: Promise and Limitations”. Journal of Climate 27: 490-92. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00381.1.

Knutson, T.R., J.J. Sirutis, G. Vecchi, S. Garner, M. Zhao, H.S. Kim, M. Bender, R.E. Tuleya, I.M. Held, and G. Villarini. 2013. “Dynamical Downscaling Projections of Twenty-First-Century Atlantic Hurricane Activity: CMIP3 and CMIP5 Model-Based Scenarios”. Journal of Climate 26: 6591-6617. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00539.1.

Vecchi, G., R. Msadek, W. Anderson, Y.-S. Chang, T. Delworth, K. Dixon, R. Gudgel, et al. 2013. “Multiyear Predictions of North Atlantic Hurricane Frequency: Promise and Limitations”. Journal of Climate 26: 5337-57. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00464.1.

Villarini, G., and G. Vecchi. 2013. “Multiseason Lead Forecast of the North Atlantic Power Dissipation Index (PDI) and Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE)”. Journal of Climate 26: 3631-43. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00448.1.

Villarini, G., and G. Vecchi. 2013. “Projected Increases in North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Intensity from CMIP5 Models”. Journal of Climate 26: 3231-40. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00441.1.

Villarini, G., J.A. Smith, and G. Vecchi. 2013. “Changing Frequency of Heavy Rainfall over the Central United States”. Journal of Climate 26: 351-57. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00043.1.

Villarini, G., and G. Vecchi. 2012. “Twenty-First-Century Projections of North Atlantic Tropical Storms from CMIP5 Models”. Nature Climate Change 2: 604-7. doi:10.1038/nclimate1530.

Villarini, G., G. Vecchi, and J.A. Smith. 2012. “U.S. Landfalling and North Atlantic Hurricanes: Statistical Modeling of Their Frequencies and Ratios”. Monthly Weather Review 140: 44-65. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00063.1.

Villarini, G., and G. Vecchi. 2012. “North Atlantic Power Dissipation Index (PDI) and Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE): Statistical Modeling and Sensitivity to Sea Surface Temperature Changes”. Journal of Climate 25: 625-37. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00146.1.

Villarini, G., G. Vecchi, T.R. Knutson, M. Zhao, and J.A. Smith. 2011. “North Atlantic Tropical Storm Frequency Response to Anthropogenic Forcing: Projections and Sources of Uncertainty”. Journal of Climate 24: 3224-38. doi:10.1175/2011JCLI3853.1.

Vecchi, G., M. Zhao, H. Wang, G. Villarini, A. Rosati, A. Kumar, I.M. Held, and R. Gudgel. 2011. “Statistical-Dynamical Predictions of Seasonal North Atlantic Hurricane Activity”. Monthly Weather Review 139: 1070-82. doi:10.1175/2010MWR3499.1.

Villarini, G., J.A. Smith, M.L. Baeck, T. Marchok, and G. Vecchi. 2011. “Characterization of Rainfall Distribution and Flooding Associated With U.S. Landfalling Tropical Cyclones: Analyses of Hurricanes Frances, Ivan, and Jeanne (2004)”. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres 116. Blackwell Publishing Ltd. doi:10.1029/2011JD016175.

Khouakhi, A., G. Villarini, and G. Vecchi. 2017. “Contribution of Tropical Cyclones to Rainfall at the Global Scale”. Journal of Climate 30. American Meteorological Society: 359-72. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0298.1.

Zhang, W., G. Vecchi, G. Villarini, H. Murakami, A. Rosati, X. Yang, L. Jia, and F. Zeng. 2017. “Modulation of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Activity by the Atlantic Meridional Mode”. Climate Dynamics 48. Springer Verlag: 631-47. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3099-2.

Zhang, W., G. Vecchi, H. Murakami, G. Villarini, T.L. Delworth, K. Paffendorf, R. Gudgel, L. Jia, F. Zeng, and X. Yang. 2016. “26. Influences of Natural Variability and Anthropogenic Forcing on the Extreme 2015 Accumulated Cyclone Energy in the Western North Pacific”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 97. American Meteorological Society: S131-S135. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0146.1.

Murakami, H., G. Villarini, G. Vecchi, W. Zhang, and R. Gudgel. 2016. “Statistical-Dynamical Seasonal Forecast of North Atlantic and U.S. Landfalling Tropical Cyclones Using the High-Resolution GFDL FLOR Coupled Model”. Monthly Weather Review 144. American Meteorological Society: 2101-23. doi:10.1175/MWR-D-15-0308.1.

Zhang, W., G. Villarini, G. Vecchi, H. Murakami, and R. Gudgel. 2016. “Statistical-Dynamical Seasonal Forecast of Western North Pacific and East Asia Landfalling Tropical Cyclones Using the High-Resolution GFDL FLOR Coupled Model”. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 8. Blackwell Publishing Ltd: 538-65. doi:10.1002/2015MS000607.

Zhang, W., G. Vecchi, G. Villarini, H. Murakami, T. Delworth, L. Jia, R. Gudgel, and F. Zeng. 2016. “Simulated Connections Between ENSO and Tropical Cyclones Near Guam in a High-Resolution GFDL Coupled Climate Model: Implications for Seasonal Forecasting”. Journal of Climate 29. American Meteorological Society: 8231-48. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0126.1.

Murakami, H., G. Vecchi, G. Villarini, T.L. Delworth, R. Gudgel, S. Underwood, X. Yang, W. Zhang, and S.-J. Lin. 2016. “Seasonal Forecasts of Major Hurricanes and Landfalling Tropical Cyclones Using a High-Resolution GFDL Coupled Climate Model”. Journal of Climate 29. American Meteorological Society: 7977-89. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0233.1.

Zhang, W., G. Vecchi, H. Murakami, T. Delworth, A.T. Wittenberg, A. Rosati, S. Underwood, et al. 2016. “Improved Simulation of Tropical Cyclone Responses to ENSO in the Western North Pacific in the High-Resolution GFDL HiFLOR Coupled Climate Model”. Journal of Climate 29. American Meteorological Society: 1391-1415. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0475.1.

Zhang, W., G. Vecchi, H. Murakami, G. Villarini, and L. Jia. 2016. “The Pacific Meridional Mode and the Occurrence of Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific”. Journal of Climate 29. American Meteorological Society: 381-98. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0282.1.

Little, C.M., R.M. Horton, R.E. Kopp, M. Oppenheimer, G. Vecchi, and G. Villarini. 2015. “Joint Projections of US East Coast Sea Level and Storm Surge”. Nature Climate Change 5. Nature Publishing Group: 1114-20. doi:10.1038/nclimate2801.

Knutson, T.R., J.J. Sirutis, M. Zhao, R.E. Tuleya, M. Bender, G. Vecchi, G. Villarini, and D. Chavas. 2015. “Global Projections of Intense Tropical Cyclone Activity for the Late Twenty-First Century from Dynamical Downscaling of CMIP5 RCP4.5 Scenarios”. Journal of Climate 28. American Meteorological Society: 7203-24. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0129.1.

Walsh, K.J.E., S.J. Camargo, G. Vecchi, A.S. Daloz, J. Elsner, K. Emanuel, M. Horn, et al. 2015. “Erratum: Hurricanes and Climate: The U.S. Clivar Working Group on Hurricanes (Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (2015) 96 (997-1017)”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 96. American Meteorological Society: 1440. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00232.1.

Walsh, K.J.E., S.J. Camargo, G. Vecchi, A.S. Daloz, J. Elsner, K. Emanuel, M. Horn, et al. 2015. “Hurricanes and Climate: The U.S. Clivar Working Group on Hurricanes”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 96. American Meteorological Society: 997-1017. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00242.1.

Villarini, G., R. Goska, J.A. Smith, and G. Vecchi. 2014. “North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones and U.S. Flooding”. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 95. American Meteorological Society: 1381-88. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00060.1.

Zhang, W., G. Villarini, and G. Vecchi. 2017. “Impacts of the Pacific Meridional Mode on June–August Precipitation in the Amazon River Basin”. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 143. John Wiley and Sons Ltd: 1936-45. doi:10.1002/qj.3053.

Scoccimarro, E., G. Villarini, S. Gualdi, A. Navarra, G. Vecchi, K. Walsh, and M. Zhao. 2017. Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Changes in a Warmer Climate. Hurricanes and Climate Change. Vol. 3. Springer International Publishing. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-47594-3_10.

Zhang, W., G. Villarini, G. Vecchi, and J.A. Smith. 2018. “Urbanization Exacerbated the Rainfall and Flooding Caused by Hurricane Harvey in Houston”. Nature 563. Nature Publishing Group: 384-88. doi:10.1038/s41586-018-0676-z.

Aryal, Y.N., G. Villarini, W. Zhang, and G. Vecchi. 2018. “Long Term Changes in Flooding and Heavy Rainfall Associated With North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones: Roles of the North Atlantic Oscillation and El Niño-Southern Oscillation”. Journal of Hydrology 559. Elsevier B.V.: 698-710. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.02.072.

Zhang, W., G. Villarini, G. Vecchi, and H. Murakami. 2018. “Impacts of the Pacific Meridional Mode on Landfalling North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones”. Climate Dynamics 50. Springer Verlag: 991-1006. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3656-3.

Zhang, W., G. Vecchi, H. Murakami, G. Villarini, T.L. Delworth, X. Yang, and L. Jia. 2018. “Dominant Role of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in the Recent Decadal Changes in Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Activity”. Geophysical Research Letters 45. Blackwell Publishing Ltd: 354-62. doi:10.1002/2017GL076397.

Luitel, B., G. Villarini, and G. Vecchi. 2018. “Verification of the Skill of Numerical Weather Prediction Models in Forecasting Rainfall from U.S. Landfalling Tropical Cyclones”. Journal of Hydrology 556. Elsevier B.V.: 1026-37. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.09.019.

Zhang, W., G. Villarini, L. Slater, G. Vecchi, and Allen Bradley. 2017. “Improved ENSO Forecasting Using Bayesian Updating and the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME)”. Journal of Climate 30. American Meteorological Society: 9007-25. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0073.1.

Salvi, K., G. Villarini, G. Vecchi, and S. Ghosh. 2017. “Decadal Temperature Predictions over the Continental United States: Analysis and Enhancement”. Climate Dynamics 49. Springer Verlag: 3587-3604. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3532-1.

Salvi, K., G. Villarini, and G. Vecchi. 2017. “High Resolution Decadal Precipitation Predictions over the Continental United States for Impacts Assessment”. Journal of Hydrology 553. Elsevier B.V.: 559-73. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.07.043.

Vecchi, G., R. Msadek, W. Anderson, Y.-S. Chang, T. Delworth, K. Dixon, R. Gudgel, et al. 2017. “Corrigendum: The Effective Number of Spatial Degrees of Freedom of a Time-Varying Field [J. Climate, 12, (1999) (1990-2009)] Doi: 10.1175 1520-0442(1999)0121990:TENOSD2.0.CO;2”. Journal of Climate 30. American Meteorological Society: 7579-82. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0335.1.

Zhang, W., G. Villarini, E. Scoccimarro, and G. Vecchi. 2017. “Stronger Influences of Increased CO2 on Subdaily Precipitation Extremes Than at the Daily Scale”. Geophysical Research Letters 44. Blackwell Publishing Ltd: 7464-71. doi:10.1002/2017GL074024.

Zhang, W., G. Villarini, and G. Vecchi. (2020) 2020. “The East Asian Subtropical Jet Stream and Atlantic Tropical Cyclones”. Geophysical Research Letters 47. Blackwell Publishing Ltd. doi:10.1029/2020GL088851.

Zhang, W., G. Villarini, and G. Vecchi. 2019. “Impacts of the Pacific Meridional Mode on Rainfall over the Maritime Continent and Australia: Potential for Seasonal Predictions”. Climate Dynamics 53. Springer Verlag: 7185-99. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3968-3.

Slater, L.J., G. Villarini, A.A. Bradley, and G. Vecchi. 2019. “A Dynamical Statistical Framework for Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting in an Agricultural Watershed”. Climate Dynamics 53. Springer Verlag: 7429-45. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3794-7.

Villarini, G., B. Luitel, G. Vecchi, and J. Ghosh. 2019. “Multi-Model Ensemble Forecasting of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity”. Climate Dynamics 53. Springer Verlag: 7461-77. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3369-z.

Vecchi, G., T.L. Delworth, H. Murakami, S.D. Underwood, A.T. Wittenberg, F. Zeng, W. Zhang, et al. 2019. “Tropical Cyclone Sensitivities to CO2 Doubling: Roles of Atmospheric Resolution, Synoptic Variability and Background Climate Changes”. Climate Dynamics 53. Springer Verlag: 5999-6033. doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04913-y.

Zhang, W., G. Villarini, G. Vecchi, and H. Murakami. 2019. “Rainfall from Tropical Cyclones: High-Resolution Simulations and Seasonal Forecasts”. Climate Dynamics 52. Springer Verlag: 5269-89. doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4446-2.